UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Camozzi vs Cedenblad

1,871

CageRank

WINNER
Cedenblad

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Cedenblad
WILL WIN

1,915

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Magnus Cedenblad
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 192 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Chris Camozzi
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Cedenblad on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Camozzi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Magnus
Cedenblad
In 11:22, how much damage will he do? Cedenblad Camozzi
Significant Strikes48
Cedenblad's average striking offense is matched by Camozzi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cedenblad's average takedown offense is matched by Camozzi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cedenblad is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cedenblad has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cedenblad is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Camozzi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cedenblad’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Camozzi
In 11:22, how much damage will he do? Camozzi Cedenblad
Significant Strikes58
Camozzi's good striking offense may be a factor against Cedenblad's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Camozzi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cedenblad's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Camozzi is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Camozzi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Camozzi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cedenblad 8.3
fighter Camozzi 8.7
Great striking by Camozzi
64 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Ring
97 strikes Oct 13, 2012 vs Cane
34 strikes Jun 22, 2012 vs Catone

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cedenblad 7.6
fighter Camozzi 7.0
Great knockouts by Cedenblad
Round 2 May 29, 2010 vs Kuzela
Round 2 May 01, 2010 vs Kincl
Round 1 Oct 31, 2009 vs Hellqvist

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cedenblad 8.3
fighter Camozzi 7.4
Great submissions by Cedenblad
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Hamman
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Vinni
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Mikalauskas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cedenblad 8.7
fighter Camozzi 7.3
Fast finishes by Cedenblad
57 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Hamman
112 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Mikalauskas
217 seconds Oct 31, 2009 vs Hellqvist
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cedenblad
legend Camozzi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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