UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Parisyan vs Alves

1,890

CageRank

WINNER
Alves

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Alves
WILL WIN

2,049

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Alves
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Karo Parisyan
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Alves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Parisyan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Alves
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? Alves Parisyan
Significant Strikes65
Alves's excellent striking offense will dominate Parisyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Alves's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Parisyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alves is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alves is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Parisyan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Karo
Parisyan
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? Parisyan Alves
Significant Strikes48
Parisyan's average striking offense is matched by Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Parisyan's excellent takedown offense will dominate Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Parisyan is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Parisyan is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Parisyan is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alves 9.0
fighter Parisyan 8.4
Great striking by Alves
80 strikes Oct 25, 2008 vs Koscheck
10 strikes Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
17 strikes Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alves 7.9
fighter Parisyan 9.4
Great takedowns by Parisyan
2 takedowns May 26, 2007 vs Burkman
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2006 vs Fickett
2 takedowns Apr 15, 2006 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alves 8.0
fighter Parisyan 6.8
Great knockouts by Alves
Round 2 Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
Round 2 Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Lytle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alves 6.9
fighter Parisyan 7.8
Great submissions by Parisyan
Round 2 Jul 10, 2010 vs Mortimer
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Strasser
Round 1 Apr 05, 1999 vs Rittgers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alves 8.3
fighter Parisyan 8.2
Fast finishes by Alves
362 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
334 seconds Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan
145 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Chalangov
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 2, 2008UFC Fight Night 13
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
DECX
2,0892,013
2,0292,074
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alves
legend Parisyan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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