UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Parisyan vs Diaz

1,890

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
82% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Karo Parisyan
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.6 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Parisyan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 10:03, how much damage will he do? Diaz Parisyan
Significant Strikes71
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Parisyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Parisyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Parisyan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Karo
Parisyan
In 10:03, how much damage will he do? Parisyan Diaz
Significant Strikes49
Parisyan's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Parisyan's excellent takedown offense will dominate Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:03
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Parisyan is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Parisyan is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Parisyan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Parisyan 8.4
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.6
fighter Parisyan 9.4
Great takedowns by Parisyan
2 takedowns May 26, 2007 vs Burkman
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2006 vs Fickett
2 takedowns Apr 15, 2006 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Parisyan 6.8
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Parisyan 7.8
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Parisyan 8.2
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 21, 2004UFC 49
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,8181,837
1,8701,784
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Parisyan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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