UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Chonan vs Grant

1,876

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.2 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ryo Chonan
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chonan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grant Chonan
Significant Strikes90
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Chonan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grant's average takedown offense is matched by Chonan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Chonan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryo
Chonan
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Chonan Grant
Significant Strikes83
Chonan's good striking offense may be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Chonan's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chonan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chonan is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chonan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Chonan 8.7
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Chonan 7.5
Great takedowns by Grant
3 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Prater
2 takedowns Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
4 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Paulino

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Chonan 7.5
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Chonan 6.2
Great submissions by Grant
Round 3 Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Round 2 Oct 03, 2008 vs Petz
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Reiner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Chonan 7.0
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2009UFC 97
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 SUB
1,8471,923
1,8071,962
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Chonan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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