UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alexander vs Silva

1,746

CageRank

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,031

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly younger 35 years vs 46 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 205 lbs vs 203 lbs Almost the same
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Houston Alexander
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alexander’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 9:36, how much damage will he do? Silva Alexander
Significant Strikes61
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Alexander's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:36
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Alexander's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:36
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alexander on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Houston
Alexander
In 9:36, how much damage will he do? Alexander Silva
Significant Strikes39
Alexander's average striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:36
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Alexander's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:36
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alexander has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alexander is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alexander is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Alexander 8.4
Great striking by Silva
96 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Hamill
37 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
48 strikes Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Alexander 8.4
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
Round 2 Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 6.9
fighter Alexander 6.4
Great submissions by Silva
Round 1 May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Round 1 Sep 27, 2006 vs Dalgliesh

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Alexander 7.7
Fast finishes by Silva
269 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
95 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
144 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 17, 2007UFC 78
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,8721,932
1,8311,974
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Alexander
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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