UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Poirier vs Young

2,052

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

1,744

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.9 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.4 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jason Young
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Young’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 6:55, how much damage will he do? Poirier Young
Significant Strikes46
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate Young's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Young's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Young on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Young
In 6:55, how much damage will he do? Young Poirier
Significant Strikes35
Young's average striking offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Young's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Young is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Young is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Young is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Poirier 9.1
fighter Young 8.5
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Poirier 8.0
fighter Young 8.2
Great takedowns by Young
4 takedowns Apr 14, 2012 vs Wisely

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Young 7.2
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Young 6.4
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Young 6.9
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 11, 2011UFC 131
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,8951,771
1,9271,738
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Young
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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