UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Poirier vs Grispi

2,052

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

1,734

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 155 lbs vs 145 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Grispi
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grispi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 9:06, how much damage will he do? Poirier Grispi
Significant Strikes50
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate Grispi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:06
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Grispi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Grispi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Grispi
In 9:06, how much damage will he do? Grispi Poirier
Significant Strikes37
Grispi's average striking offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:06
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Grispi's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grispi is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grispi is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grispi is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Poirier 9.1
fighter Grispi 8.1
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Poirier 8.0
fighter Grispi 7.9
Great takedowns by Poirier
2 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
1 takedown Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
5 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Young

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Grispi 7.4
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Grispi 8.0
Great submissions by Grispi
Round 1 Jun 20, 2010 vs Davis
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Pulver
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Hominick

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Grispi 8.5
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 1, 2011UFC 125
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,8241,979
1,8951,908
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Grispi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus