UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Poirier vs Micklewright

2,052

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

1,838

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.0 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Zachary Micklewright
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Micklewright’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Poirier Micklewright
Significant Strikes61
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate Micklewright's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Micklewright's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Micklewright on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Zachary
Micklewright
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Micklewright Poirier
Significant Strikes48
Micklewright's good striking offense may be a factor against Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Micklewright's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Micklewright has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Micklewright is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Micklewright is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Poirier 9.1
fighter Micklewright 8.7
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Poirier 8.0
fighter Micklewright 8.0
Great takedowns by Poirier
2 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
1 takedown Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
5 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Young

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Micklewright 8.7
Great knockouts by Micklewright
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Chambers
Round 1 Oct 17, 2009 vs Bixler
Round 3 May 17, 2008 vs Hernandez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Micklewright 6.0
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Micklewright 8.4
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 11, 2010WEC 52
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
1,7691,800
1,8241,745
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Micklewright
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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