UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Poirier vs Jolly

2,052

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

1,748

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.4 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Nate Jolly
Slightly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jolly’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jolly on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Jolly
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jolly is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jolly is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jolly has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Jolly 6.8
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Jolly 6.4
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Jolly 6.8
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,5971,977
1,6871,887
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Jolly
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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