UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Poirier vs Gaethje

2,052

CageRank

WINNER
Gaethje

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Gaethje
WILL WIN

2,109

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Gaethje
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Gaethje on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Gaethje
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gaethje has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gaethje is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gaethje is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gaethje’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gaethje 9.7
fighter Poirier 8.1
Great knockouts by Gaethje
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
Round 3 Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gaethje 6.6
fighter Poirier 7.9
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gaethje 8.8
fighter Poirier 8.7
Fast finishes by Gaethje
400 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
739 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
147 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 14, 2018UFC on Fox 29
team
VS
team
R4 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gaethje
legend Poirier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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