UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Poirier vs Brooks

2,052

CageRank

WINNER
Brooks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Brooks
WILL WIN

2,096

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Will Brooks
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Brooks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Will
Brooks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brooks Poirier
Significant Strikes77
Brooks's average striking offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brooks's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brooks is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brooks is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brooks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brooks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Poirier Brooks
Significant Strikes85
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brooks 8.6
fighter Poirier 9.1
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brooks 8.7
fighter Poirier 8.0
Great takedowns by Brooks
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brooks 7.8
fighter Poirier 8.1
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brooks 7.4
fighter Poirier 7.9
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brooks 7.6
fighter Poirier 8.7
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brooks
legend Poirier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus