UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Grispi vs Yahya

1,734

CageRank

WINNER
Yahya

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Yahya
WILL WIN

1,937

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rani Yahya
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Josh Grispi
Much heavier hands 7.4 vs 5.9 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Heavier 145 lbs vs 134 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Yahya on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grispi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rani
Yahya
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Yahya Grispi
Significant Strikes22
Yahya's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Grispi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Yahya's good takedown offense may be a factor against Grispi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Yahya is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Yahya has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Yahya is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Grispi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Yahya’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Grispi
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Grispi Yahya
Significant Strikes23
Grispi's average striking offense won't be a factor against Yahya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Grispi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Yahya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grispi is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grispi is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grispi is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Yahya 7.5
fighter Grispi 8.1
Great striking by Grispi
10 strikes Jun 20, 2010 vs Davis
11 strikes Aug 03, 2008 vs Miller
14 strikes Feb 13, 2008 vs Hominick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Yahya 9.0
fighter Grispi 7.9
Great takedowns by Yahya
5 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Hirota
3 takedowns Jan 22, 2011 vs Thomas Brown
1 takedown Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Yahya 5.9
fighter Grispi 7.4
Great knockouts by Grispi
Round 1 Aug 03, 2008 vs Miller
Round 1 Dec 15, 2007 vs Paige
Round 1 Oct 28, 2006 vs Ganthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Yahya 8.4
fighter Grispi 8.0
Great submissions by Yahya
Round 1 Aug 04, 2012 vs Grispi
Round 1 Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman
Round 1 Nov 05, 2008 vs Maeda

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Yahya 8.3
fighter Grispi 8.5
Fast finishes by Grispi
153 seconds Jun 20, 2010 vs Davis
50 seconds Aug 03, 2008 vs Miller
175 seconds Feb 13, 2008 vs Hominick
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 4, 2012UFC on Fox 4
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,8351,860
1,7891,907
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Yahya
legend Grispi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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