UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Couture vs Belfort

1,975

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
80% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 7.8 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much younger 40 years vs 54 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Randy Couture
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 203 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Couture’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 4:13, how much damage will he do? Belfort Couture
Significant Strikes17
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Couture's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Couture's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:13
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Couture on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Randy
Couture
In 4:13, how much damage will he do? Couture Belfort
Significant Strikes11
Couture's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:13
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Couture's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:13
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Couture is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Couture is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Couture is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Couture 8.8
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Couture 9.2
Great takedowns by Couture
7 takedowns Mar 03, 2007 vs Sylvia
8 takedowns Sep 26, 2003 vs Ortiz
4 takedowns Jun 06, 2003 vs Liddell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Couture 7.3
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Couture 7.5
Great submissions by Couture
Round 1 Aug 28, 2010 vs Toney
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Coleman
Round 3 Aug 20, 2005 vs Van Arsdale

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Couture 7.8
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 21, 2004UFC 49
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XR2 KO
1,9121,918
1,9631,868
January 31, 2004UFC 46
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
1,9801,851
1,9121,918
October 17, 1997UFC 15
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,5911,718
1,6591,651
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Couture
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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