UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lauzon vs Gaethje

1,877

CageRank

WINNER
Gaethje

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Gaethje
WILL WIN

2,109

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Gaethje
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Dan Lauzon
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Gaethje on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Gaethje
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gaethje has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gaethje is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gaethje is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gaethje’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Lauzon
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gaethje 9.7
fighter Lauzon 8.4
Great knockouts by Gaethje
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
Round 3 Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gaethje 6.6
fighter Lauzon 7.3
Great submissions by Lauzon
Round 1 Dec 02, 2010 vs Trites
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Green
Round 1 Feb 08, 2008 vs Latina

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gaethje 8.8
fighter Lauzon 8.5
Fast finishes by Gaethje
400 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
739 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
147 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 26, 2013WSOF 6
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 KO
1,9082,040
1,8762,072
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gaethje
legend Lauzon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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