UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Howard vs Brown

1,930

CageRank

WINNER
Brown

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Brown
WILL WIN

2,072

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Brown
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much taller 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 182 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for John Howard
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Howard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 13:13, how much damage will he do? Brown Howard
Significant Strikes78
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Howard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 119 Significant Strikes in 13:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brown's average takedown offense may be a factor against Howard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Howard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Howard
In 13:13, how much damage will he do? Howard Brown
Significant Strikes38
Howard's average striking offense won't be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 119 Significant Strikes in 13:13
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Howard's good takedown offense may be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:13
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Howard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Howard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Howard is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brown 9.1
fighter Howard 8.2
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brown 8.1
fighter Howard 8.8
Great takedowns by Howard
3 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Bahadurzada
2 takedowns Dec 05, 2009 vs Hallman
7 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Wilson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brown 9.3
fighter Howard 8.3
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brown 6.8
fighter Howard 6.4
Great submissions by Brown
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Thomas
Round 1 Oct 20, 2006 vs Nickoson
Round 1 May 20, 2006 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brown 8.5
fighter Howard 7.9
Fast finishes by Brown
29 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
360 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
451 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,8841,707
1,8101,780
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brown
legend Howard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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