UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Howard vs Bahadurzada

1,930

CageRank

WINNER
Bahadurzada

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Bahadurzada
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Siyar Bahadurzada
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Longer reach 184 cm vs 182 cm Almost the same
Advantages for John Howard
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Bahadurzada on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Howard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Siyar
Bahadurzada
In 11:41, how much damage will he do? Bahadurzada Howard
Significant Strikes51
Bahadurzada's average striking offense is matched by Howard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:41
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Bahadurzada's average takedown offense may be a factor against Howard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bahadurzada is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Howard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bahadurzada’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Howard
In 11:41, how much damage will he do? Howard Bahadurzada
Significant Strikes42
Howard's average striking offense is matched by Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:41
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Howard's good takedown offense may be a factor against Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:41
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Howard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Howard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Howard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.4
fighter Howard 8.2
Great striking by Bahadurzada
3 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.0
fighter Howard 8.8
Great takedowns by Howard
3 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Bahadurzada
2 takedowns Dec 05, 2009 vs Hallman
7 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Wilson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.9
fighter Howard 8.3
Great knockouts by Bahadurzada
Round 1 Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Alessio
Round 1 Aug 06, 2010 vs Alexandre Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bahadurzada 7.0
fighter Howard 6.4
Great submissions by Bahadurzada
Round 1 Nov 17, 2007 vs Schouteren
Round 1 Jan 21, 2007 vs Agrba
Round 1 Apr 20, 2003 vs Rijtslag

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bahadurzada 9.1
fighter Howard 7.9
Fast finishes by Bahadurzada
42 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago
115 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Alessio
94 seconds Aug 06, 2010 vs Alexandre Pereira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 28, 2013UFC 168
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,9142,047
1,9821,979
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bahadurzada
legend Howard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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