UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Starnes vs Quarry

1,815

CageRank

WINNER
Quarry

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Quarry
WILL WIN

1,902

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Quarry
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Kalib Starnes
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.5 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 43 years vs 45 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Quarry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Starnes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Quarry
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Quarry Starnes
Significant Strikes93
Quarry's good striking offense may be a factor against Starnes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Quarry's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Starnes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Quarry has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Quarry is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Quarry has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Starnes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Quarry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kalib
Starnes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Starnes Quarry
Significant Strikes61
Starnes's average striking offense is matched by Quarry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Starnes's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Quarry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Starnes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Starnes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Starnes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Quarry 8.8
fighter Starnes 8.5
Great striking by Quarry
53 strikes Sep 16, 2009 vs Credeur
16 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs MacDonald
84 strikes Apr 19, 2008 vs Starnes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Quarry 7.5
fighter Starnes 8.6
Great takedowns by Starnes
2 takedowns May 26, 2007 vs Leben
1 takedown Jun 24, 2006 vs Abbadi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Quarry 8.2
fighter Starnes 7.6
Great knockouts by Quarry
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs MacDonald
Round 1 Aug 06, 2005 vs Sell
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Sincaid

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Quarry 7.0
fighter Starnes 7.6
Great submissions by Starnes
Round 2 Jan 28, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Jul 17, 2010 vs Hinchliffe
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Cisneros

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Quarry 8.3
fighter Starnes 8.2
Fast finishes by Quarry
147 seconds Apr 18, 2009 vs MacDonald
42 seconds Aug 06, 2005 vs Sell
197 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Sincaid
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2008UFC 83
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,7751,845
1,7351,885
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Quarry
legend Starnes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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