UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Leben vs Bisping

1,753

CageRank

WINNER
Bisping

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance Bisping
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much longer reach 192 cm vs 179 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Chris Leben
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leben’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bisping Leben
Significant Strikes108
Bisping's excellent striking offense will dominate Leben's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Bisping's average takedown offense is matched by Leben's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Leben on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Leben
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Leben Bisping
Significant Strikes56
Leben's average striking offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Leben's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leben is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leben is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leben is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bisping 9.5
fighter Leben 8.6
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter Leben 7.4
Great takedowns by Bisping
3 takedowns Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
3 takedowns Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang
2 takedowns Jun 07, 2008 vs Day

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bisping 8.5
fighter Leben 7.9
Great knockouts by Bisping
Round 3 Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bisping 6.8
fighter Leben 6.9
Great submissions by Leben
Round 3 Jul 03, 2010 vs Akiyama
Round 1 Oct 03, 2005 vs DeWees
Round 1 Oct 11, 2003 vs Ballard

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter Leben 7.9
Fast finishes by Bisping
814 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
414 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
222 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 18, 2008UFC 89
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,9611,992
1,9152,037
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bisping
legend Leben
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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