CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Belcher vs Palhares
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense | 9.7 | vs | 8.2 | Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Fast finishes | 9.6 | vs | 8.8 | Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 8.3 | vs | 7.5 | More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Significantly better takedown defense | 9.0 | vs | 8.4 | More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down |
Harder to hit | 8.9 | vs | 8.7 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Alan Belcher
Much heavier hands | 8.0 | vs | 6.3 | More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders |
Better striker | 8.7 | vs | 7.5 | More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
A lot taller | 188 cm | vs | 173 cm | Around 10% taller |
Significantly stronger jaw | 9.0 | vs | 8.3 | Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Longer reach | 191 cm | vs | 180 cm | More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Puts up a fight | 9.5 | vs | 9.0 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Younger | 33 years | vs | 38 years | Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Heavier | 184 lbs | vs | 169 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Palhares on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belcher’s defensive skills
Predictions For Rousimar Palhares |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? | Palhares | Belcher | |
Significant Strikes22
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Belcher's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46 |
Poor
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Belcher's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout |
Weak
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
Belcher on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For Alan Belcher |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? | Belcher | Palhares | |
Significant Strikes42
Belcher's good striking offense is matched by Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Belcher's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Belcher has a good chance of winning by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Good
Jaw
|
Submission
Belcher has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Belcher is unlikely to win by decision |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Belcher
20 strikes | May 05, 2012 | vs Palhares |
27 strikes | May 08, 2010 | vs Cote |
9 strikes | Jan 17, 2009 | vs Kang |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns | Aug 27, 2011 | vs Miller |
1 takedown | Dec 12, 2009 | vs Linhares |
7 takedowns | Jan 17, 2009 | vs Horn |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Belcher
Round 1 | May 05, 2012 | vs Palhares |
Round 1 | Dec 12, 2009 | vs Gouveia |
Round 2 | Oct 20, 2007 | vs Starnes |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 | Oct 09, 2013 | vs Pierce |
Round 1 | Mar 27, 2010 | vs Drwal |
Round 2 | Dec 12, 2009 | vs Linhares |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?