Alan Belcher The Talent 18-9

Weight 184 lbs
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75"
Age 33

Rousimar Palhares 18-8 Toquinho

169 lbs
5' 8"
71"
37

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Belcher vs Palhares

CageRank

66% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Rousimar Palhares

Much better submission offense	9.7	vs	8.2	Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes	9.6	vs	8.8	Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense	8.3	vs	7.5	More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense	9.0	vs	8.4	More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit	8.9	vs	8.7	Almost the same

Advantages for Alan Belcher

Much heavier hands	8.0	vs	6.3	More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker	8.7	vs	7.5	More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller	188 cm	vs	173 cm	Around 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw	9.0	vs	8.3	Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach	191 cm	vs	180 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight	9.5	vs	9.0	More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger	33 years	vs	37 years	More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier	184 lbs	vs	169 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belcher’s defensive skills

Predictions For Rousimar Palhares
In 9:46, how much damage will he do?	Palhares		Belcher
Significant Strikes22 Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Belcher's defense Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46	Poor Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Belcher's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout	Weak Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Palhares is unlikely to win by decision	Below average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability

Belcher on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills

Predictions For Alan Belcher
In 9:46, how much damage will he do?	Belcher		Palhares
Significant Strikes42 Belcher's good striking offense is matched by Palhares's defense Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46	Good Striking	vs	Good Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Belcher's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Belcher has a good chance of winning by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Good Jaw
Submission Belcher has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Belcher is unlikely to win by decision	Below average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability