UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Vera vs Werdum

1,808

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.8 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 242 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Brandon Vera
From what we can tell, Fabricio Werdum dominates Brandon Vera in every way.
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 9:18, how much damage will he do? Werdum Vera
Significant Strikes51
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Vera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:18
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by Vera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Vera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brandon
Vera
In 9:18, how much damage will he do? Vera Werdum
Significant Strikes33
Vera's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:18
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Vera's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:18
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vera is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vera is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vera has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Vera 8.7
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Vera 7.6
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Vera 7.7
Great knockouts by Werdum
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Vera
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Gonzaga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Vera 6.7
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Vera 7.8
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 7, 2008UFC 85
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 SUB
1,8801,931
1,8381,974
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Vera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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