UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Taylor vs Sobotta

1,774

CageRank

WINNER
Sobotta

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Sobotta
WILL WIN

1,869

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Peter Sobotta
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 31 years vs 38 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Paul Taylor
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Sobotta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Taylor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Peter
Sobotta
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Sobotta Taylor
Significant Strikes53
Sobotta's average striking offense may be a factor against Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sobotta's average takedown offense is matched by Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sobotta is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sobotta has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sobotta is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Taylor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sobotta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Taylor
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Taylor Sobotta
Significant Strikes66
Taylor's good striking offense may be a factor against Sobotta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Taylor's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sobotta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Taylor is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Taylor is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Taylor is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sobotta 8.1
fighter Taylor 8.8
Great striking by Taylor
37 strikes Feb 05, 2011 vs Ruediger
46 strikes Jun 13, 2009 vs Sobotta
78 strikes Apr 21, 2007 vs de Oliveira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sobotta 6.7
fighter Taylor 8.0
Great knockouts by Taylor
Round 2 Feb 05, 2011 vs Ruediger
Round 3 Apr 21, 2007 vs de Oliveira
Round 3 Apr 10, 2005 vs Galesic

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sobotta 8.3
fighter Taylor 6.6
Great submissions by Sobotta
Round 1 Nov 10, 2012 vs Dadaev
Round 1 Apr 27, 2012 vs Manuel Suarez
Round 1 Mar 24, 2012 vs Panin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sobotta 8.4
fighter Taylor 7.6
Fast finishes by Sobotta
130 seconds Nov 10, 2012 vs Dadaev
138 seconds Apr 27, 2012 vs Manuel Suarez
672 seconds Sep 13, 2008 vs Abzailov
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 13, 2009UFC 99
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,7131,746
1,7671,691
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sobotta
legend Taylor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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