UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hazelett vs Daley

1,815

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 170 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Dustin Hazelett
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 196 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hazelett’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 6:47, how much damage will he do? Daley Hazelett
Significant Strikes39
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Hazelett's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:47
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hazelett's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:47
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hazelett on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Hazelett
In 6:47, how much damage will he do? Hazelett Daley
Significant Strikes22
Hazelett's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:47
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hazelett's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:47
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hazelett is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hazelett has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hazelett is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Hazelett 8.1
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Hazelett 7.4
Great takedowns by Daley
1 takedown Jun 22, 2007 vs Ludwig

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Hazelett 6.7
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Hazelett 8.3
Great submissions by Hazelett
Round 2 Jun 21, 2008 vs Burkman
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs Goulet
Round 1 Jul 15, 2006 vs Moreno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Hazelett 8.3
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 2, 2010UFC 108
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,9512,032
1,9132,070
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Hazelett
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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