UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gonzaga vs Miocic

1,950

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly longer reach 203 cm vs 193 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Gabriel Gonzaga
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 258 lbs vs 244 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gonzaga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Miocic Gonzaga
Significant Strikes55
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate Gonzaga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gonzaga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gonzaga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gabriel
Gonzaga
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Gonzaga Miocic
Significant Strikes54
Gonzaga's average striking offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gonzaga's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gonzaga has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gonzaga has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gonzaga is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Gonzaga 8.6
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter Gonzaga 8.5
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter Gonzaga 8.3
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter Gonzaga 8.2
Great submissions by Gonzaga
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jul 05, 2008 vs McCully

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Gonzaga 9.0
Fast finishes by Gonzaga
361 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Rothwell
147 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Tuchscherer
291 seconds Apr 21, 2007 vs Filipovic
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 25, 2014UFC on Fox 10
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,9962,024
1,9502,070
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend Gonzaga
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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