UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arinelli vs dos Anjos

1,768

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Felipe Arinelli
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arinelli’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Arinelli on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Felipe
Arinelli
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arinelli is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arinelli is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arinelli is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Arinelli 6.7
Great knockouts by dos Anjos
Round 1 Dec 19, 2015 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Apr 16, 2005 vs Arinelli

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Arinelli 7.4
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Arinelli 7.6
Fast finishes by dos Anjos
100 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
59 seconds Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
570 seconds Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XDEC
1,4471,501
1,4051,543
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Arinelli
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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