UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Gomi

2,097

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Miller
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jim Miller
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 7.0 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.2 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 11:25, how much damage will he do? Miller Gomi
Significant Strikes52
Miller's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:25
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miller's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 11:25, how much damage will he do? Gomi Miller
Significant Strikes59
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:25
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:25
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Gomi 8.9
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 8.6
fighter Gomi 7.2
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
5 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 7.1
fighter Gomi 8.4
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 8.9
fighter Gomi 7.0
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.7
fighter Gomi 8.2
Fast finishes by Miller
184 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
119 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
799 seconds Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Gomi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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