UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Diaz

2,097

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Miller
WILL WIN

2,056

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jim Miller
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Miller Diaz
Significant Strikes60
Miller's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Miller's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Diaz Miller
Significant Strikes89
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Diaz 9.3
Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
46 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Miller
238 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Cerrone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 8.6
fighter Diaz 7.8
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
5 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 7.1
fighter Diaz 7.4
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Markham
Round 1 May 05, 2006 vs Rael

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 8.9
fighter Diaz 8.6
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.7
fighter Diaz 8.7
Fast finishes by Miller
184 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
119 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
799 seconds Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2012UFC on Fox 3
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
DECX
2,1322,011
2,0652,078
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Diaz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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