UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Guillard

2,097

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Miller
WILL WIN

1,960

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jim Miller
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 5.7 More than 55% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.2 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Melvin Guillard
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guillard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Miller Guillard
Significant Strikes31
Miller's average striking offense won't be a factor against Guillard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miller's average takedown offense is matched by Guillard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Guillard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Melvin
Guillard
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Guillard Miller
Significant Strikes59
Guillard's excellent striking offense will dominate Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Guillard's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guillard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guillard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guillard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Guillard 9.1
Great striking by Guillard
17 strikes Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
17 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham
73 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Stephens

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 8.6
fighter Guillard 7.2
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
5 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 7.1
fighter Guillard 8.9
Great knockouts by Guillard
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Danzig
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 8.9
fighter Guillard 5.7
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.7
fighter Guillard 8.5
Fast finishes by Miller
184 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
119 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
799 seconds Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
2,0952,002
2,1321,965
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Guillard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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