UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Lauzon

2,097

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Miller
WILL WIN

1,936

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jim Miller
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Joe Lauzon
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 11:46, how much damage will he do? Miller Lauzon
Significant Strikes63
Miller's average striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:46
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miller's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Lauzon
In 11:46, how much damage will he do? Lauzon Miller
Significant Strikes47
Lauzon's average striking offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:46
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lauzon's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Lauzon 8.4
Great striking by Lauzon
44 strikes Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
2 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
19 strikes Aug 28, 2010 vs Ruediger

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 8.6
fighter Lauzon 8.3
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
5 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 7.1
fighter Lauzon 6.9
Great knockouts by Miller
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs Lopez
Round 2 Nov 30, 2007 vs Liguori

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 8.9
fighter Lauzon 8.7
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.7
fighter Lauzon 8.6
Fast finishes by Miller
184 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
119 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
799 seconds Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 27, 2016UFC on Fox 21
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
December 29, 2012UFC 155
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 SUBX
2,0652,011
2,1071,969
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Lauzon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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