UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Azevedo vs Alarcao

1,780

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Azevedo

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Azevedo
WILL WIN

1,575

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luciano Azevedo
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Maicon Alarcao
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 150 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 6.6 vs 5.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Azevedo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alarcao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luciano
Azevedo
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Azevedo is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Azevedo has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Azevedo is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alarcao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Azevedo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Maicon
Alarcao
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alarcao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alarcao is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alarcao is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Azevedo 5.9
fighter Alarcao 6.6
Great knockouts by Alarcao
Round 2 Sep 25, 2010 vs Nicolau Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Azevedo 8.6
fighter Alarcao 7.4
Great submissions by Azevedo
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Silva
Round 1 Apr 27, 2008 vs Mohamed
Round 2 Nov 26, 2005 vs Aldo

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Azevedo 8.0
fighter Alarcao 7.6
Fast finishes by Azevedo
210 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Silva
201 seconds Apr 27, 2008 vs Mohamed
517 seconds Nov 26, 2005 vs Aldo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 15, 2003Shooto - Brazil 2
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,5501,450
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Azevedo
legend Alarcao
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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