UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Patino vs Souza

1,850

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.1 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 37 years vs 44 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 183 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jorge Patino
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Patino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Souza Patino
Significant Strikes81
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Patino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Patino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Patino on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Patino
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Patino Souza
Significant Strikes29
Patino's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Patino's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Patino is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Patino is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Patino is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Patino 8.1
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Patino 8.2
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Patino 7.3
Great knockouts by Patino
Round 3 Dec 07, 2013 vs Campos
Round 1 May 11, 2012 vs Hantz
Round 1 Oct 21, 2005 vs Vella

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Patino 7.1
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Patino 7.7
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 13, 2003JF 1 - Jungle Fight 1
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,6381,500
1,6691,469
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Patino
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus