UFC fight predictions and analysis
Upcoming:
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Foster vs Lytle

1,984

CageRank

WINNER
Lytle

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Lytle
WILL WIN

2,007

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Lytle
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Brian Foster
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 33 years vs 43 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Lytle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Foster’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Lytle
In 11:07, how much damage will he do? Lytle Foster
Significant Strikes55
Lytle's excellent striking offense will dominate Foster's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lytle's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Foster's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:07
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lytle is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lytle has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lytle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Foster on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lytle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Foster
In 11:07, how much damage will he do? Foster Lytle
Significant Strikes66
Foster's good striking offense may be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:07
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Foster's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:07
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Foster is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Foster has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Foster is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lytle 9.1
fighter Foster 8.8
Great striking by Lytle
127 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
153 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Serra
12 strikes Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lytle 7.1
fighter Foster 8.8
Great takedowns by Foster
3 takedowns Nov 20, 2010 vs Brown
2 takedowns Nov 21, 2009 vs Larson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lytle 6.6
fighter Foster 7.6
Great knockouts by Foster
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Wood
Round 1 Sep 15, 2010 vs Petz
Round 1 May 09, 2009 vs Baker

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lytle 8.7
fighter Foster 8.5
Great submissions by Lytle
Round 3 Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
Round 2 Aug 21, 2004 vs Jhun

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lytle 8.3
fighter Foster 8.9
Fast finishes by Foster
67 seconds Sep 15, 2010 vs Petz
505 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Larson
59 seconds May 09, 2009 vs Baker
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 20, 2010UFC 110
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
1,8981,889
1,8471,940
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lytle
legend Foster
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus