UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Foster vs Carl

1,984

CageRank

WINNER
Carl

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Carl
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Brian Foster
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Foster’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carl is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Foster on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Foster
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Foster is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Foster has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Foster is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carl 6.5
fighter Foster 7.6
Great knockouts by Foster
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Wood
Round 1 Sep 15, 2010 vs Petz
Round 1 May 09, 2009 vs Baker

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carl 9.5
fighter Foster 8.5
Great submissions by Carl
Round 4 Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carl 9.2
fighter Foster 8.9
Fast finishes by Carl
962 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
55 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
150 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 2, 2006MOTC 7
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6381,702
1,6971,643
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carl
legend Foster
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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