UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kamaka vs Holloway

1,472

CageRank

WINNER
Holloway

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Holloway
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Max Holloway
Much better submission offense 6.8 vs 5.3 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 6.9 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Fast finishes 7.3 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Bryson Kamaka
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 175 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kamaka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 7:56, how much damage will he do? Holloway Kamaka
Significant Strikes44
Holloway's average striking offense may be a factor against Kamaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:56
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Kamaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:56
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kamaka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryson
Kamaka
In 7:56, how much damage will he do? Kamaka Holloway
Significant Strikes44
Kamaka's good striking offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kamaka's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kamaka is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kamaka is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kamaka is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holloway 7.9
fighter Kamaka 7.3
Great knockouts by Holloway
Round 2 Jan 04, 2014 vs Chope
Round 2 Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Kamaka

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holloway 6.8
fighter Kamaka 5.3
Great submissions by Holloway
Round 3 Apr 18, 2015 vs Swanson
Round 3 Apr 26, 2014 vs Fili

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holloway 7.3
fighter Kamaka 7.1
Fast finishes by Holloway
447 seconds Jan 04, 2014 vs Chope
589 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
189 seconds Nov 06, 2010 vs Kamaka
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 6, 2010X-1 - Island Pride
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,5461,612
1,5051,653
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holloway
legend Kamaka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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