UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marcello vs Ishida

1,750

CageRank

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Cristiano Marcello
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marcello’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Marcello
Significant Strikes67
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Marcello's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Marcello's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Marcello on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiano
Marcello
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Marcello Ishida
Significant Strikes39
Marcello's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Marcello's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marcello is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Marcello is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marcello is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ishida 8.2
fighter Marcello 8.3
Great striking by Marcello
72 strikes Oct 13, 2012 vs Madadi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Marcello 7.9
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Marcello 6.5
Great knockouts by Ishida
Round 3 Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Round 1 Mar 12, 2005 vs Sato
Round 2 Nov 26, 2001 vs Kojima

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Marcello 7.9
Great submissions by Marcello
Round 1 Dec 08, 2010 vs Thole
Round 1 Sep 01, 2007 vs Munoz
Round 2 Nov 30, 2006 vs Kaplan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Marcello 7.7
Fast finishes by Marcello
298 seconds Sep 01, 2007 vs Munoz
457 seconds Nov 30, 2006 vs Kaplan
80 seconds Apr 29, 2006 vs Hyung Kim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 26, 2006Pride - Bushido 12
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XDEC
1,7041,935
1,6831,956
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Marcello
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus