UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Komkin vs Smoldarev

1,405

CageRank

WINNER
Smoldarev

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Smoldarev
WILL WIN

1,872

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Denis Smoldarev
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much taller 201 cm vs 173 cm More than 15% taller
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly heavier 264 lbs vs 256 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Denis Komkin
From what we can tell, Denis Smoldarev dominates Denis Komkin in every way.
Smoldarev on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Komkin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Denis
Smoldarev
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smoldarev has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smoldarev is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smoldarev is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Komkin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smoldarev’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Denis
Komkin
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Komkin is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Komkin is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Komkin is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smoldarev 7.9
fighter Komkin 6.7
Great knockouts by Smoldarev
Round 1 May 23, 2013 vs Ibragimov
Round 2 May 29, 2010 vs Tseiko
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Vasilev

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smoldarev 7.5
fighter Komkin 6.4
Great submissions by Smoldarev
Round 1 Sep 13, 2014 vs Kiseliov
Round 1 May 24, 2014 vs Guryanov
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Safarov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smoldarev 8.3
fighter Komkin 7.0
Fast finishes by Smoldarev
193 seconds May 23, 2013 vs Ibragimov
130 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Safarov
326 seconds May 29, 2010 vs Tseiko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
1,6881,606
1,6271,667
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smoldarev
legend Komkin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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