UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Koch vs Proctor

1,897

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Koch

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Koch
WILL WIN

1,874

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Erik Koch
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Proctor
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Koch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Proctor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Erik
Koch
In 10:17, how much damage will he do? Koch Proctor
Significant Strikes52
Koch's average striking offense is matched by Proctor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Koch's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Proctor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:17
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koch has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Koch is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koch is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Proctor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Proctor
In 10:17, how much damage will he do? Proctor Koch
Significant Strikes37
Proctor's average striking offense won't be a factor against Koch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:17
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Proctor's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Koch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:17
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Proctor is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Proctor is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Proctor has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Koch 8.6
fighter Proctor 8.4
Great striking by Koch
40 strikes Sep 17, 2011 vs Brookins
4 strikes Mar 19, 2011 vs Assuncao
14 strikes Jun 20, 2010 vs Casimir

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Koch 7.8
fighter Proctor 7.3
Great knockouts by Koch
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Assuncao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Rivera
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Combs

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Koch 7.7
fighter Proctor 7.1
Great submissions by Koch
Round 1 Jun 20, 2010 vs Casimir
Round 2 Apr 17, 2009 vs Ahrens
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Pearson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Koch 8.6
fighter Proctor 7.6
Fast finishes by Koch
152 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Assuncao
181 seconds Jun 20, 2010 vs Casimir
180 seconds Apr 05, 2008 vs Pearson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Koch
legend Proctor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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