UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Koch vs Lamas

1,897

CageRank

WINNER
Lamas

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Lamas
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Erik Koch
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lamas Koch
Significant Strikes53
Lamas's average striking offense won't be a factor against Koch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lamas's average takedown offense is matched by Koch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Erik
Koch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Koch Lamas
Significant Strikes58
Koch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Koch's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koch is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koch is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koch is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lamas 8.4
fighter Koch 8.6
Great striking by Koch
40 strikes Sep 17, 2011 vs Brookins
4 strikes Mar 19, 2011 vs Assuncao
14 strikes Jun 20, 2010 vs Casimir

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lamas 8.3
fighter Koch 7.4
Great takedowns by Lamas
2 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
4 takedowns Mar 01, 2009 vs Palaszewski

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lamas 8.0
fighter Koch 7.8
Great knockouts by Lamas
Round 2 Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
Round 1 Jun 26, 2011 vs Grice
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lamas 7.4
fighter Koch 7.7
Great submissions by Koch
Round 1 Jun 20, 2010 vs Casimir
Round 2 Apr 17, 2009 vs Ahrens
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Pearson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lamas 8.1
fighter Koch 8.6
Fast finishes by Koch
152 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Assuncao
181 seconds Jun 20, 2010 vs Casimir
180 seconds Apr 05, 2008 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 26, 2013UFC on Fox 6
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XDEC
2,0152,057
1,9712,101
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lamas
legend Koch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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