UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rivera vs Faber

1,870

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Francisco Rivera
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rivera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 9:23, how much damage will he do? Faber Rivera
Significant Strikes47
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Rivera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Faber's average takedown offense may be a factor against Rivera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rivera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francisco
Rivera
In 9:23, how much damage will he do? Rivera Faber
Significant Strikes30
Rivera's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:23
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rivera's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:23
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rivera has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rivera is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rivera is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Rivera 8.5
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Rivera 7.8
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Rivera 8.5
Great knockouts by Rivera
Round 2 Nov 06, 2013 vs Roop
Round 2 Feb 02, 2013 vs Figueroa
Round 1 Mar 09, 2012 vs Duarte

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Rivera 6.5
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Rivera 8.3
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 6, 2014UFC 181
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Rivera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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