UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bowles vs Faber

1,872

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.2 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Brian Bowles
Significantly longer reach 179 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bowles’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 7:56, how much damage will he do? Faber Bowles
Significant Strikes42
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Bowles's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bowles's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bowles on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Bowles
In 7:56, how much damage will he do? Bowles Faber
Significant Strikes25
Bowles's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:56
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bowles's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bowles is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bowles has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bowles is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Bowles 8.5
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Bowles 8.0
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Bowles 7.4
Great knockouts by Bowles
Round 1 Aug 09, 2009 vs Torres
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Galvao
Round 1 Sep 08, 2006 vs Nutt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Bowles 8.3
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Bowles 8.3
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2011UFC 139
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,9842,036
1,9422,078
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Bowles
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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