UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cruz vs Faber

2,179

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cruz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Cruz
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dominick Cruz
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 31 years vs 37 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.4 Around 50% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 134 lbs vs 133 lbs Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Cruz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dominick
Cruz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cruz Faber
Significant Strikes59
Cruz's good striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Cruz's excellent takedown offense will dominate Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cruz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cruz is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cruz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cruz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Faber Cruz
Significant Strikes60
Faber's average striking offense won't be a factor against Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cruz 8.8
fighter Faber 8.6
Great striking by Cruz
60 strikes Oct 01, 2011 vs Johnson
90 strikes Jul 02, 2011 vs Faber
117 strikes Dec 16, 2010 vs Jorgensen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cruz 9.4
fighter Faber 8.4
Great takedowns by Cruz
10 takedowns Oct 01, 2011 vs Johnson
4 takedowns Jul 02, 2011 vs Faber
6 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Jorgensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cruz 7.5
fighter Faber 6.8
Great knockouts by Cruz
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Bowles
Round 1 Feb 24, 2006 vs Barney
Round 2 Sep 10, 2005 vs Donahue

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cruz 6.4
fighter Faber 9.5
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cruz 7.3
fighter Faber 8.7
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 4, 2016UFC 199
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
July 2, 2011UFC 132
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,1002,083
2,1482,036
March 24, 2007WEC 26
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,8192,018
1,7952,042
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cruz
legend Faber
Read More
Cruz vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Faber vs Johnson
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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