CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Cruz vs Barao
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
Much better submission offense | 8.5 | vs | 6.4 | Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Fast finishes | 8.6 | vs | 7.3 | Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Heavier | 134 lbs | vs | 133 lbs | Almost the same |
Longer reach | 179 cm | vs | 173 cm | Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Puts up a fight | 9.7 | vs | 9.1 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 9.1 | More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Heavier hands | 7.7 | vs | 7.5 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
Better takedown defense | 9.3 | vs | 9.1 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Dominick Cruz
Much stronger takedown offense | 9.4 | vs | 8.0 | Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Taller | 173 cm | vs | 170 cm | Almost the same |
Barao on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cruz’s defensive skills
Predictions For Renan Barao |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 11:40, how much damage will he do? | Barao | Cruz | |
Significant Strikes54
Barao's good striking offense is matched by Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:40 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Barao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:40 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Barao is unlikely to win by knockout |
Good
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Barao is unlikely to win by decision |
Good
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Cruz on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For Dominick Cruz |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 11:40, how much damage will he do? | Cruz | Barao | |
Significant Strikes54
Cruz's good striking offense is matched by Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:40 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Cruz's excellent takedown offense is matched by Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:40 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Cruz is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Cruz is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Cruz has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Barao
36 strikes | Feb 16, 2013 | vs McDonald |
85 strikes | Jul 21, 2012 | vs Faber |
104 strikes | Feb 04, 2012 | vs Jorgensen |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Cruz
10 takedowns | Oct 01, 2011 | vs Johnson |
4 takedowns | Jul 02, 2011 | vs Faber |
6 takedowns | Dec 16, 2010 | vs Jorgensen |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Barao
Round 2 | Sep 21, 2013 | vs Wineland |
Round 2 | Aug 13, 2009 | vs Sardinha |
Round 3 | Nov 29, 2008 | vs Pinheiro |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Barao
Round 4 | Feb 16, 2013 | vs McDonald |
Round 1 | Nov 05, 2011 | vs Pickett |
Round 1 | Dec 16, 2010 | vs Cariaso |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Barao
335 seconds | Sep 21, 2013 | vs Wineland |
1137 seconds | Feb 16, 2013 | vs McDonald |
249 seconds | Nov 05, 2011 | vs Pickett |
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
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