VS
CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Cruz vs Barao
2,179
CageRank
WINNER
Barao
BY Submission ROUND 3
52% chance Barao
WILL WIN
2,194
CageRank
WINNER
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
| Much better submission offense | 8.5 | vs | 6.4 | Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
| Fast finishes | 8.6 | vs | 7.3 | Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
| Longer reach | 179 cm | vs | 173 cm | Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
| Heavier | 134 lbs | vs | 133 lbs | Almost the same |
| Puts up a fight | 9.7 | vs | 9.1 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
| Better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 9.1 | More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
| Heavier hands | 7.7 | vs | 7.5 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
| Younger | 31 years | vs | 33 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
| Better takedown defense | 9.3 | vs | 9.1 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Dominick Cruz
| Much stronger takedown offense | 9.4 | vs | 8.0 | Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
| Taller | 173 cm | vs | 170 cm | Almost the same |
Barao on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cruz’s defensive skills
 Renan Barao |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 11:40, how much damage will he do? | Barao | Cruz | |
|
Significant Strikes54
Barao's good striking offense is matched by Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:40 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns1
Barao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:40 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Barao is unlikely to win by knockout |
Good
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Barao is unlikely to win by decision |
Good
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Cruz on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
 Dominick Cruz |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 11:40, how much damage will he do? | Cruz | Barao | |
|
Significant Strikes54
Cruz's good striking offense is matched by Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:40 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns2
Cruz's excellent takedown offense is matched by Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:40 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Cruz is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Cruz is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Cruz has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
Barao
8.9
Cruz
8.8
Great striking by Barao
| 36 strikes | Feb 16, 2013 | vs McDonald |
| 85 strikes | Jul 21, 2012 | vs Faber |
| 104 strikes | Feb 04, 2012 | vs Jorgensen |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?
Barao
8.0
Cruz
9.4
Great takedowns by Cruz
| 10 takedowns | Oct 01, 2011 | vs Johnson |
| 4 takedowns | Jul 02, 2011 | vs Faber |
| 6 takedowns | Dec 16, 2010 | vs Jorgensen |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?
Barao
7.7
Cruz
7.5
Great knockouts by Barao
| Round 2 | Sep 21, 2013 | vs Wineland |
| Round 2 | Aug 13, 2009 | vs Sardinha |
| Round 3 | Nov 29, 2008 | vs Pinheiro |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?
Barao
8.5
Cruz
6.4
Great submissions by Barao
| Round 4 | Feb 16, 2013 | vs McDonald |
| Round 1 | Nov 05, 2011 | vs Pickett |
| Round 1 | Dec 16, 2010 | vs Cariaso |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster?
Barao
8.6
Cruz
7.3
Fast finishes by Barao
| 335 seconds | Sep 21, 2013 | vs Wineland |
| 1137 seconds | Feb 16, 2013 | vs McDonald |
| 249 seconds | Nov 05, 2011 | vs Pickett |
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
Barao
Cruz
Read More
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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