UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Palhares

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
65% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Significantly better submission offense 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 9:22, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Palhares
Significant Strikes47
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:22
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 9:22, how much damage will he do? Palhares Cerrone
Significant Strikes26
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:22
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Palhares 7.5
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Palhares 8.3
Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Miller
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares
7 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Palhares 6.3
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Palhares 9.7
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Palhares 9.6
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Palhares
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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