UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Makdessi

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,878

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.3 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for John Makdessi
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Makdessi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 7:45, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Makdessi
Significant Strikes47
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Makdessi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:45
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Makdessi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Makdessi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Makdessi
In 7:45, how much damage will he do? Makdessi Cerrone
Significant Strikes46
Makdessi's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Makdessi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:45
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Makdessi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Makdessi is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Makdessi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Makdessi 8.9
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Makdessi 7.3
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Makdessi 8.3
Great knockouts by Makdessi
Round 1 Sep 21, 2013 vs Forte
Round 3 Apr 30, 2011 vs Watson
Round 2 Feb 26, 2010 vs Hawkes

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Makdessi 6.3
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Makdessi 7.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2015UFC 187
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Makdessi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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