UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Brown

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,072

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Matt Brown
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 10:36, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Brown
Significant Strikes49
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:36
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 10:36, how much damage will he do? Brown Cerrone
Significant Strikes67
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:36
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brown's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Brown 9.1
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Brown 8.1
Great takedowns by Brown
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Thompson
3 takedowns Jun 26, 2011 vs Howard

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Brown 9.3
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Brown 6.8
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Brown 8.5
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 10, 2016UFC 206
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
I feel sorry for the Immortal one...
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