UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Means

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,953

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Means
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Means’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 9:34, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Means
Significant Strikes53
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Means on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Means
In 9:34, how much damage will he do? Means Cerrone
Significant Strikes55
Means's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:34
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Means's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:34
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Means has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Means is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Means is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Means 8.8
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Means 7.9
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Means 8.8
Great knockouts by Means
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
Round 2 Oct 07, 2010 vs Green

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Means 6.4
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Means 8.6
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Means
Read More
Cerrone vs Condit
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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