UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Cote

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,042

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Patrick Cote
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cote’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 11:11, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Cote
Significant Strikes68
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Cote's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:11
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Cote's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cote on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Patrick
Cote
In 11:11, how much damage will he do? Cote Cerrone
Significant Strikes61
Cote's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Cote's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:11
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cote is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cote is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cote has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Cote 8.7
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Cote 7.2
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Cote 8.0
Great knockouts by Cote
Round 1 Mar 31, 2012 vs Machado
Round 1 Jan 23, 2008 vs McFedries
Round 1 May 22, 2004 vs Mahood

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Cote 6.8
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Cote 8.4
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 18, 2016UFC Fight Night 89
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Cote
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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