UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Dunham

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,886

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 7:18, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Dunham
Significant Strikes46
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:18
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 7:18, how much damage will he do? Dunham Cerrone
Significant Strikes46
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:18
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dunham's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by Dunham
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin
3 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 16, 2013UFC 167
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
DECX
2,0241,964
2,0651,923
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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