UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Noons

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
83% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,928

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.3 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 169 lbs vs 167 lbs Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for K.J. Noons
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Noons’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Noons
Significant Strikes92
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Noons's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Noons's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Noons on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
K.J.
Noons
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Noons Cerrone
Significant Strikes87
Noons's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Noons's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Noons has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Noons is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Noons is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Noons 8.8
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Noons 7.0
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Noons 8.4
Great knockouts by Noons
Round 1 Jun 14, 2008 vs Edwards
Round 1 Nov 10, 2007 vs Diaz
Round 3 Jul 27, 2007 vs Berto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Noons 6.3
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Noons 8.2
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 25, 2013UFC 160
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
2,0491,834
2,0721,812
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Noons
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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