UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Guillard

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,960

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 5.7 More than 50% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Melvin Guillard
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guillard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 8:53, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Guillard
Significant Strikes38
Cerrone's excellent striking offense is matched by Guillard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:53
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Guillard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Guillard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Melvin
Guillard
In 8:53, how much damage will he do? Guillard Cerrone
Significant Strikes56
Guillard's excellent striking offense will dominate Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:53
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Guillard's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:53
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guillard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guillard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guillard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Guillard 9.1
Great striking by Guillard
17 strikes Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
17 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham
73 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Stephens

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Guillard 7.2
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Guillard 8.9
Great knockouts by Guillard
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Danzig
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Guillard 5.7
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Guillard 8.5
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 11, 2012UFC 150
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 SUBX
2,0662,012
2,1091,970
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Guillard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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