UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Lawler

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.3 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 11:58, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Lawler
Significant Strikes57
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:58
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 11:58, how much damage will he do? Lawler Cerrone
Significant Strikes67
Lawler's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:58
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:58
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Lawler 8.8
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Lawler 7.4
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Lawler 9.3
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Lawler 6.3
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Lawler 8.8
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 29, 2017UFC 214
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Lawler
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Lawler vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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